Emissions forecasting

Forecasting (or projecting) air pollutant and GHG future trends

Forecasting (or projecting) air pollutant and greenhouse gas trends provides a baseline and likely future scenarios.  Based on these scenarios  emission reduction targets and requirements for action can be developed. Aether’s expertise in data gathering, analysis and forecasting helps our customers to establish achievable targets for improved environmental performance and report on progress. 

Guidance on projections and policies & measures

Aether and TNO developed greenhouse gas emission projection guidelines in support of the EU's Effort Sharing Decision. This project brought together a team with long standing experience and excellence in developing and using GHG emissions projections and working with Policies and Measures at a national and international level.

EU countries are required to report information of policies and measures related to climate change every two years under the Monitoring Mechanism Regulation (EU/749/2014). Aether has also been involved in the development of guidelines for Member States for reporting policies and measures under the Monitoring Mechanism Regulation, and evaluation of the data submitted. Under the new global Paris Agreement (Article 13 on “Transparency”) Parties are required to provide concise information on their Climate Action and demonstrate that they have the capacity and systems in place to track progress.

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Impacts of policies and measures

Our analysis provides information on the sectors where action is required and the evidence needed to engage stakeholders in defining and implementing action. Forecasting links closely to the analysis of impacts of actions, policies and measures. Data on the impacts of policies and measures planned or in place should be used as input into forecasting calculations to illustrate scenarios of possible future trends to help establish achievable targets.

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Case studies

Category: National governments, Policies and measures

Luxembourg Climate Action: Stakeholder engagement and reporting Portal

Aether developed an innovative online platform, or Portal, for gathering, analysing and reporting Luxembourg’s climate policies and measures. The Portal acts as a central point for stakeholder engagement and keeps a live master list of national climate actions, with associated impact and cost analysis.

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Category: National governments, Emission inventories, Policies and measures

Emission Inventory Support for Environment Agency of Iceland

Aether is supporting the Environment Agency of Iceland in the compilation of its greenhouse gas and air quality emissions inventories. We are helping to ensure that Iceland’s inventory is robust and of high quality.

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Testimonials

Don't just take our word for it...

“Chris was excellent to work with and always very pro active in making suggestions, taking work forward and applying his considerable technical knowledge in effective ways.”

Robert Vaughan, Defra Air Quality Team

“I must congratulate each of you for your professional and tireless efforts. Let me point out that this has been the 'neatest' in-country review expert review team I have coordinated, and it has been a real pleasure.”

UNFCCC Secretariat

“Professional team and very collaborative communication. Effective result in terms of suggestions for improvement in the quality of the inventory and proposals on how to streamline specific topics.”

Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research

“The professional service provided by your company was of very high quality and completed within agreed timelines.”

Matthew Dudley, UNFCCC Secretariat

“An extremely useful and informative piece of work.”

Samantha Baker, DECC

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