Emissions forecasting

Forecasting (or projecting) air pollutant and GHG future trends

Forecasting (or projecting) air pollutant and greenhouse gas trends provides a baseline and likely future scenarios.  Based on these scenarios  emission reduction targets and requirements for action can be developed. Aether’s expertise in data gathering, analysis and forecasting helps our customers to establish achievable targets for improved environmental performance and report on progress. 

Guidance on projections and policies & measures

Aether and TNO developed greenhouse gas emission projection guidelines in support of the EU's Effort Sharing Decision. This project brought together a team with long standing experience and excellence in developing and using GHG emissions projections and working with Policies and Measures at a national and international level.

EU countries are required to report information of policies and measures related to climate change every two years under the Monitoring Mechanism Regulation (EU/749/2014). Aether has also been involved in the development of guidelines for Member States for reporting policies and measures under the Monitoring Mechanism Regulation, and evaluation of the data submitted. Under the new global Paris Agreement (Article 13 on “Transparency”) Parties are required to provide concise information on their Climate Action and demonstrate that they have the capacity and systems in place to track progress.

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Impacts of policies and measures

Our analysis provides information on the sectors where action is required and the evidence needed to engage stakeholders in defining and implementing action. Forecasting links closely to the analysis of impacts of actions, policies and measures. Data on the impacts of policies and measures planned or in place should be used as input into forecasting calculations to illustrate scenarios of possible future trends to help establish achievable targets.

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Testimonials

Don't just take our word for it...

“I must congratulate each of you for your professional and tireless efforts. Let me point out that this has been the 'neatest' in-country review expert review team I have coordinated, and it has been a real pleasure.”

UNFCCC Secretariat

“Everything went well, and the Centre on Emissions Inventories and Projections especially thank the reviewers for their excellent job.”

National Inventory Review (2009) under the LRTAP Conventionent

“It has been a pleasure to work with Chris Dore and Richard Claxton from Aether: they did their job in a very professional and timely manner. The workshop was organized and carried out in a cooperative spirit; the information provided to the workshop participants was complete and clear.”

Alina Novikova, UN/ECE Secretariat

“Aether's approach to couple innovative visualisation with high expertise manpower delivered valuable insights for our inventory work.”

Umweltbundesamt (Germany)

“Aether's experience working with emissions data and local government proved invaluable in developing TrACE, and we are very pleased with the final tool. It was delivered on time, to budget and to specification, and Aether's consultants have been very forthcoming with ideas for developing it further.”

Andy Deacon, Energy Saving Trust

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